Daily Dose of iQ: Poll Analyst Predicts Electoral Results in All 50 States

Nov 07, 2012 — Allan Pulga

In what Mashable called the "Triumph of the Nerds," FiveThirtyEight creator and poll analysis wunderkind Nate Silver used big data and his own mathematical model to correctly predict the results in 50 out of 50 states for yesterday's U.S. presidential election.

In 2008, Silver correctly predicted the outcome in 49 of the 50 states.

"What does this victory mean? That mathematical models can no longer be derided by 'gut-feeling' pundits," wrote Mashable's Chris Taylor. That Silver’s contention -- TV pundits are generally no more accurate than a coin toss -- must now be given wider credence.

"The great thing about a model like Silver’s (and that of similarly winning math nerds, such as Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium) is that it takes all that myopic human bias out of the equation. The ever-present temptation to cherry-pick polls is subverted."

As Taylor mentioned, Silver's crafty use of data, analytics and reporting is a big win for geeks everywhere -- especially those advocating the power of data, metrics and reporting (cough-cough, business intelligence). Pretty cool, when you have a look at the tweeted photo below:

Topics: Mobile Industry, Business Intelligence

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